Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #607 / 1,000

P0396

Medium bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 18,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 7 040

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 960

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 294Deviation -R 2 666

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 960. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 622

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 962 to R 4 726
Finished ahead: 232 / 1,000 (23,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #503 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 2,27% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.552
Mean bets / session: 1.81
Loss multiplier: 1.0685×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 54,2% / 71,1% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 1405 wagers · RTP 38,95%

European RouletteR 1 0625 wagers · RTP 64,41%

BaccaratR 8374 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 6143 wagers · RTP 18,65%

Virtual Sports BettingR 4182 wagers · RTP 96,52%

CrashR 4122 wagers · RTP 56,13%

American RouletteR 1911 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 1631 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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