Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #960 / 1,000

P0403

Large bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 20,3% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 52

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 9 948

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 070Deviation -R 8 878

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 9 948. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 9 415

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 988 to R 28 062
Finished ahead: 249 / 1,000 (24,9%)
At least one ruin: 18 / 1,000 (1,8%)
Median rank: #914 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 10,39% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.513
Mean bets / session: 4.501
Loss multiplier: 1.0504×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 65,1% / 103,5% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BlackjackR 9 13137 wagers · RTP 88,69%

CrashR 6 01232 wagers · RTP 74,84%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 5 56637 wagers · RTP 26,95%

BaccaratR 3 34216 wagers · RTP 42,41%

European RouletteR 2 3678 wagers · RTP 131,69%

Craps / DiceR 1 6067 wagers · RTP 97,51%

Lottery / JackpotR 92213 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 9158 wagers · RTP 49,13%

Virtual Sports BettingR 9159 wagers · RTP 114,08%

American RouletteR 8643 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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