Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #872 / 1,000

P0413

Large bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 70,3% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 1 836

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 8 164

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 4 351Deviation -R 3 813

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 8 164. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 9 823

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 993 to R 26 766
Finished ahead: 199 / 1,000 (19,9%)
At least one ruin: 36 / 1,000 (3,6%)
Median rank: #936 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 9,28% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.756
Mean bets / session: 3.641
Loss multiplier: 1.1036×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 61,9% / 101,9% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

CrashR 15 48536 wagers · RTP 88,41%

BlackjackR 13 32028 wagers · RTP 98,87%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 8 38834 wagers · RTP 5,96%

American RouletteR 6 34313 wagers · RTP 25,40%

BaccaratR 6 13012 wagers · RTP 157,68%

Virtual Sports BettingR 5 50011 wagers · RTP 108,47%

European RouletteR 5 07710 wagers · RTP 194,23%

Three-Reel SlotR 3 92216 wagers · RTP 60,56%

Craps / DiceR 2 7236 wagers · RTP 98,60%

Lottery / JackpotR 8008 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies