Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #83 / 1,000

P0420

Large bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 82,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 14 508

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 4 508

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 3 120Deviation R 7 628

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 4 508. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 9 887

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 11 669 to R 30 400
Finished ahead: 221 / 1,000 (22,1%)
At least one ruin: 169 / 1,000 (16,9%)
Median rank: #944 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 10,61% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.626
Mean bets / session: 4.981
Loss multiplier: 1.0149×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 76,9% / 72,2% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

CrashR 22 50045 wagers · RTP 127,78%

Craps / DiceR 8 65616 wagers · RTP 100,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 8 25033 wagers · RTP 3,03%

American RouletteR 7 03313 wagers · RTP 84,62%

European RouletteR 7 03313 wagers · RTP 123,08%

BlackjackR 5 41010 wagers · RTP 100,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 4 70047 wagers · RTP 42,55%

BaccaratR 3 7877 wagers · RTP 97,86%

Three-Reel SlotR 3 50014 wagers · RTP 285,71%

Virtual Sports BettingR 3 0006 wagers · RTP 166,59%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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