Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #21 / 1,000

P0425

Large bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 92,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 31 519

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 21 519

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 2 375Deviation R 23 895

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 21 519. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 9 845

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 14 055 to R 28 001
Finished ahead: 240 / 1,000 (24,0%)
At least one ruin: 265 / 1,000 (26,5%)
Median rank: #940 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 17,57% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.529
Mean bets / session: 4.335
Loss multiplier: 1.0138×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 66,3% / 110,8% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

CrashR 16 69834 wagers · RTP 84,72%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 8 18333 wagers · RTP 325,30%

Three-Reel SlotR 6 93828 wagers · RTP 93,33%

American RouletteR 6 13312 wagers · RTP 221,34%

European RouletteR 5 97512 wagers · RTP 7,78%

Virtual Sports BettingR 5 63512 wagers · RTP 104,26%

Craps / DiceR 5 28411 wagers · RTP 114,19%

BaccaratR 5 1599 wagers · RTP 162,57%

BlackjackR 3 9969 wagers · RTP 106,21%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 10011 wagers · RTP 72,73%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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