Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #2 / 1,000

P0426

Large bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 98,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMETail outcomeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 62 096

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 52 096

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 2 753Deviation R 54 849

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 52 096. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 9 711

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 10 000 to R 29 633
Finished ahead: 234 / 1,000 (23,4%)
At least one ruin: 62 / 1,000 (6,2%)
Median rank: #928 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 14,62% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.321
Mean bets / session: 3.252
Loss multiplier: 1.0415×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 76,6% / 107,2% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

CrashR 11 00022 wagers · RTP 147,73%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 8 50034 wagers · RTP 420,59%

American RouletteR 5 1309 wagers · RTP 66,67%

BaccaratR 4 5608 wagers · RTP 112,50%

BlackjackR 3 4206 wagers · RTP 133,33%

Craps / DiceR 3 4206 wagers · RTP 166,67%

Three-Reel SlotR 2 0008 wagers · RTP 75,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 0004 wagers · RTP 65,29%

European RouletteR 1 7103 wagers · RTP 1 200,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 3003 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies