Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #945 / 1,000

P0427

Large bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 56,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 141

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 9 859

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 2 461Deviation -R 7 398

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 9 859. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 9 969

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 19 318 to R 33 354
Finished ahead: 244 / 1,000 (24,4%)
At least one ruin: 458 / 1,000 (45,8%)
Median rank: #960 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 15,84% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.487
Mean bets / session: 5.935
Loss multiplier: 1.0189×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 78,4% / 115,6% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Craps / DiceR 24 57445 wagers · RTP 82,28%

CrashR 16 38847 wagers · RTP 109,90%

Virtual Sports BettingR 10 00621 wagers · RTP 111,49%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 8 94749 wagers · RTP 38,96%

European RouletteR 6 38112 wagers · RTP 69,44%

American RouletteR 2 2289 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 1 8115 wagers · RTP 142,63%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 7518 wagers · RTP 99,94%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 23816 wagers · RTP 73,51%

BaccaratR 1 1134 wagers · RTP 182,56%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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