Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #13 / 1,000

P0431

Large bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 94,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 39 456

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 29 456

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 2 352Deviation R 31 808

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 29 456. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 9 622

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 990 to R 30 247
Finished ahead: 238 / 1,000 (23,8%)
At least one ruin: 21 / 1,000 (2,1%)
Median rank: #924 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 9,89% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.307
Mean bets / session: 4.844
Loss multiplier: 1.0849×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 57,7% / 79,5% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

European RouletteR 20 46033 wagers · RTP 81,82%

CrashR 12 00024 wagers · RTP 78,13%

Craps / DiceR 8 06013 wagers · RTP 76,92%

BlackjackR 8 06013 wagers · RTP 92,31%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 7 75031 wagers · RTP 500,00%

BaccaratR 7 44012 wagers · RTP 138,33%

Virtual Sports BettingR 5 50011 wagers · RTP 118,07%

American RouletteR 4 3407 wagers · RTP 214,29%

Three-Reel SlotR 2 50010 wagers · RTP 55,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 4004 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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