Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #809 / 1,000

P0436

Large bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 74,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 3 504

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 6 496

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 3 055Deviation -R 3 441

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 6 496. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 9 973

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 18 272 to R 32 005
Finished ahead: 205 / 1,000 (20,5%)
At least one ruin: 402 / 1,000 (40,2%)
Median rank: #962 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 11,44% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.555
Mean bets / session: 5.917
Loss multiplier: 1.0776×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 70,9% / 105,2% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

CrashR 18 59241 wagers · RTP 95,40%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 15 43162 wagers · RTP 46,85%

Craps / DiceR 15 07826 wagers · RTP 104,52%

BaccaratR 10 81718 wagers · RTP 115,61%

American RouletteR 10 24017 wagers · RTP 116,94%

BlackjackR 8 05813 wagers · RTP 127,12%

European RouletteR 6 14311 wagers · RTP 99,04%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 9987 wagers · RTP 62,64%

Three-Reel SlotR 2 2509 wagers · RTP 44,44%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 90019 wagers · RTP 31,58%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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