Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #26 / 1,000

P0442

Large bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 90,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 39 567

Total allocated

R 20 0002 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 19 567

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 825Deviation R 21 392

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 19 567. Bankroll allocations used: 2.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 9 837

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 15 870 to R 26 808
Finished ahead: 251 / 1,000 (25,1%)
At least one ruin: 313 / 1,000 (31,3%)
Median rank: #938 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 14,72% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.673
Mean bets / session: 4.685
Loss multiplier: 1.0824×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 67,9% / 103,1% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

American RouletteR 10 40642 wagers · RTP 80,41%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 8 81948 wagers · RTP 391,21%

CrashR 8 02531 wagers · RTP 72,89%

BaccaratR 4 95616 wagers · RTP 75,61%

Virtual Sports BettingR 4 46115 wagers · RTP 83,60%

Craps / DiceR 3 34315 wagers · RTP 129,70%

European RouletteR 2 89213 wagers · RTP 105,01%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 57612 wagers · RTP 40,70%

BlackjackR 1 1415 wagers · RTP 132,87%

Lottery / JackpotR 7389 wagers · RTP 27,10%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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