Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #918 / 1,000

P0461

Large bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 49,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 702

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 9 298

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 968Deviation -R 7 330

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 9 298. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 9 287

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 15 627 to R 31 022
Finished ahead: 265 / 1,000 (26,5%)
At least one ruin: 323 / 1,000 (32,3%)
Median rank: #907 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 19,28% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.461
Mean bets / session: 4.708
Loss multiplier: 1.0834×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 62,5% / 84,7% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

CrashR 13 73035 wagers · RTP 98,21%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 11 70447 wagers · RTP 59,81%

European RouletteR 10 00025 wagers · RTP 64,00%

Craps / DiceR 6 00015 wagers · RTP 66,67%

BlackjackR 3 92810 wagers · RTP 147,66%

American RouletteR 3 4819 wagers · RTP 93,16%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 8007 wagers · RTP 177,95%

Three-Reel SlotR 2 50010 wagers · RTP 55,00%

BaccaratR 2 4006 wagers · RTP 65,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 8008 wagers · RTP 25,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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