Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #55 / 1,000

P0463

Large bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 82,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 28 619

Total allocated

R 20 0002 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 8 619

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 6 421Deviation R 15 041

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 8 619. Bankroll allocations used: 2.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 10 000

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 19 997 to R 36 135
Finished ahead: 246 / 1,000 (24,6%)
At least one ruin: 670 / 1,000 (67,0%)
Median rank: #984 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 17,09% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.758
Mean bets / session: 5.685
Loss multiplier: 1.0607×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 77,4% / 85,7% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

CrashR 26 14364 wagers · RTP 123,02%

BlackjackR 18 63740 wagers · RTP 85,52%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 11 12354 wagers · RTP 35,98%

Craps / DiceR 10 98124 wagers · RTP 60,29%

European RouletteR 10 12121 wagers · RTP 31,94%

American RouletteR 8 18924 wagers · RTP 407,24%

BaccaratR 5 0169 wagers · RTP 87,38%

Three-Reel SlotR 3 42020 wagers · RTP 87,79%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 11715 wagers · RTP 26,68%

Virtual Sports BettingR 6554 wagers · RTP 158,12%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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