Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #979 / 1,000

P0469

Large bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 11,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 6

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 9 994

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 681Deviation -R 9 313

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 9 994. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 9 827

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 10 370 to R 31 179
Finished ahead: 253 / 1,000 (25,3%)
At least one ruin: 100 / 1,000 (10,0%)
Median rank: #937 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 15,87% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.68
Mean bets / session: 3.321
Loss multiplier: 1.0214×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 71,3% / 118,3% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

CrashR 6 01251 wagers · RTP 63,17%

European RouletteR 4 32314 wagers · RTP 2,57%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2 44829 wagers · RTP 1,39%

BlackjackR 1 8855 wagers · RTP 36,71%

American RouletteR 1 5416 wagers · RTP 77,61%

Lottery / JackpotR 5859 wagers · RTP 61,20%

Virtual Sports BettingR 5153 wagers · RTP 212,66%

Craps / DiceR 27110 wagers · RTP 128,41%

Three-Reel SlotR 1749 wagers · RTP 67,82%

BaccaratR 102 wagers · RTP 200,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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