Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #830 / 1,000

P0473

Large bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 58,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 3 080

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 6 920

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 942Deviation -R 4 978

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 6 920. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 9 183

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 993 to R 28 656
Finished ahead: 240 / 1,000 (24,0%)
At least one ruin: 34 / 1,000 (3,4%)
Median rank: #904 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 15,38% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.535
Mean bets / session: 3.405
Loss multiplier: 1.0076×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 61,8% / 91,0% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

CrashR 16 46033 wagers · RTP 116,19%

BlackjackR 10 58820 wagers · RTP 95,83%

Craps / DiceR 5 75311 wagers · RTP 70,05%

BaccaratR 5 34010 wagers · RTP 68,50%

American RouletteR 5 17910 wagers · RTP 52,54%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 4 75019 wagers · RTP 31,58%

European RouletteR 4 1968 wagers · RTP 76,36%

Virtual Sports BettingR 3 4147 wagers · RTP 148,67%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 20012 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 7503 wagers · RTP 166,67%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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