Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #42 / 1,000

P0474

Large bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 90,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 22 758

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 12 758

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 283Deviation R 14 041

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 12 758. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 6 254

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 983 to R 27 937
Finished ahead: 246 / 1,000 (24,6%)
At least one ruin: 1 / 1,000 (0,1%)
Median rank: #802 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 15,74% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.144
Mean bets / session: 3.727
Loss multiplier: 1.0844×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 70,2% / 112,6% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

CrashR 10 08024 wagers · RTP 161,46%

BaccaratR 5 88014 wagers · RTP 111,43%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 5 00020 wagers · RTP 10,00%

American RouletteR 4 20010 wagers · RTP 440,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 9407 wagers · RTP 92,56%

Craps / DiceR 2 5206 wagers · RTP 66,67%

BlackjackR 2 1005 wagers · RTP 80,00%

European RouletteR 1 2603 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 0004 wagers · RTP 25,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 8008 wagers · RTP 50,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies