Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #947 / 1,000

P0475

Large bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 23,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 131

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 9 869

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 172Deviation -R 8 696

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 9 869. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 7 890

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 988 to R 28 164
Finished ahead: 272 / 1,000 (27,2%)
At least one ruin: 13 / 1,000 (1,3%)
Median rank: #862 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 14,40% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.228
Mean bets / session: 3.995
Loss multiplier: 1.0335×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 77,0% / 118,7% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

CrashR 6 55025 wagers · RTP 83,27%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 4 77325 wagers · RTP 10,37%

Virtual Sports BettingR 3 65513 wagers · RTP 101,48%

European RouletteR 3 64811 wagers · RTP 77,33%

American RouletteR 3 42012 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 3 20810 wagers · RTP 105,58%

BaccaratR 2 98710 wagers · RTP 163,43%

Three-Reel SlotR 2 30212 wagers · RTP 66,25%

Craps / DiceR 1 3267 wagers · RTP 4,37%

Lottery / JackpotR 3315 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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