Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #129 / 1,000

P0476

Large bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 77,3% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 11 501

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 1 501

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 2 082Deviation R 3 583

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 1 501. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 9 714

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 10 000 to R 32 913
Finished ahead: 245 / 1,000 (24,5%)
At least one ruin: 75 / 1,000 (7,5%)
Median rank: #929 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 12,66% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.546
Mean bets / session: 3.25
Loss multiplier: 1.096×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 61,2% / 95,2% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BlackjackR 10 76013 wagers · RTP 144,38%

CrashR 10 50021 wagers · RTP 127,38%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 9 25037 wagers · RTP 21,62%

BaccaratR 5 1306 wagers · RTP 100,00%

Craps / DiceR 5 1306 wagers · RTP 133,33%

American RouletteR 4 8656 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 4 8056 wagers · RTP 234,13%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 9896 wagers · RTP 52,70%

Three-Reel SlotR 2 50010 wagers · RTP 45,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 6006 wagers · RTP 200,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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