Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #908 / 1,000

P0485

Large bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 56,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 979

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 9 021

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 969Deviation -R 7 051

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 9 021. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 9 629

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 10 000 to R 29 297
Finished ahead: 261 / 1,000 (26,1%)
At least one ruin: 77 / 1,000 (7,7%)
Median rank: #925 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 17,26% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.174
Mean bets / session: 4.006
Loss multiplier: 1.0106×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 58,9% / 128,6% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

European RouletteR 10 32114 wagers · RTP 83,31%

CrashR 7 93418 wagers · RTP 64,04%

American RouletteR 6 6047 wagers · RTP 140,51%

Virtual Sports BettingR 6 17713 wagers · RTP 95,61%

Three-Reel SlotR 5 41922 wagers · RTP 36,16%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 5 00020 wagers · RTP 55,00%

Craps / DiceR 4 3066 wagers · RTP 112,17%

BaccaratR 3 9365 wagers · RTP 121,49%

BlackjackR 2 7773 wagers · RTP 34,86%

Lottery / JackpotR 7007 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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