Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #975 / 1,000

P0499

Large bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 27,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 7

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 9 993

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 255Deviation -R 8 738

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 9 993. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 9 775

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 14 901 to R 27 337
Finished ahead: 252 / 1,000 (25,2%)
At least one ruin: 264 / 1,000 (26,4%)
Median rank: #933 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 19,81% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.769
Mean bets / session: 3.242
Loss multiplier: 1.0996×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 71,1% / 118,7% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

CrashR 12 31446 wagers · RTP 75,50%

American RouletteR 4 92413 wagers · RTP 91,00%

Craps / DiceR 4 85416 wagers · RTP 64,73%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3 94126 wagers · RTP 57,78%

BaccaratR 2 7078 wagers · RTP 112,09%

European RouletteR 1 9789 wagers · RTP 1,52%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 5065 wagers · RTP 145,06%

BlackjackR 1 4054 wagers · RTP 1,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 81211 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 7627 wagers · RTP 98,43%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies