Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #665 / 1,000

P0501

Large bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 36,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 6 050

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 3 950

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 512Deviation -R 3 438

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 3 950. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 2 543

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 7 278 to R 11 817
Finished ahead: 307 / 1,000 (30,7%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #600 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 10,44% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.391
Mean bets / session: 2.66
Loss multiplier: 1.015×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 56,6% / 82,8% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

American RouletteR 3 6546 wagers · RTP 33,33%

European RouletteR 1 8273 wagers · RTP 66,67%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 5003 wagers · RTP 195,28%

BlackjackR 6091 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 6006 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 5002 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 5001 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 2501 wagers · RTP 50,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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