Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #473 / 1,000

P0504

Large bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 35,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 8 380

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 620

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 140Deviation -R 1 480

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 620. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 080

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 490 to R 4 710
Finished ahead: 275 / 1,000 (27,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #435 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 11,46% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.339
Mean bets / session: 1.26
Loss multiplier: 1.0226×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 59,9% / 79,7% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

American RouletteR 9802 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 5002 wagers · RTP 50,00%

European RouletteR 4901 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 4901 wagers · RTP 200,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 4901 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 1001 wagers · RTP 200,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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