Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #488 / 1,000

P0511

Large bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 44,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 8 244

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 756

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 244Deviation -R 1 512

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 756. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 429

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 4 129 to R 9 328
Finished ahead: 306 / 1,000 (30,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #476 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 21,26% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.362
Mean bets / session: 1.952
Loss multiplier: 1.0421×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 69,0% / 81,3% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

American RouletteR 1 3564 wagers · RTP 50,00%

CrashR 1 3564 wagers · RTP 125,00%

European RouletteR 1 0173 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 4004 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 3391 wagers · RTP 200,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 3391 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies