Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #669 / 1,000

P0519

Large bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 33,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 6 026

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 3 974

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 487Deviation -R 3 487

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 3 974. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 2 230

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 8 221 to R 9 852
Finished ahead: 340 / 1,000 (34,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #569 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 17,31% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.594
Mean bets / session: 1.717
Loss multiplier: 1.0154×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 84,9% / 146,0% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

American RouletteR 2 6555 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 2 5005 wagers · RTP 90,00%

BlackjackR 1 0622 wagers · RTP 100,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 6006 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 5311 wagers · RTP 200,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 5001 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 2501 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2501 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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