Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #423 / 1,000

P0520

Large bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 59,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 8 915

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 085

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 486Deviation -R 599

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 085. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 933

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 6 660 to R 11 675
Finished ahead: 295 / 1,000 (29,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #542 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 11,79% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.378
Mean bets / session: 1.929
Loss multiplier: 1.065×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 82,3% / 98,3% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BlackjackR 4 3505 wagers · RTP 150,00%

American RouletteR 3 4804 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 8701 wagers · RTP 200,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 4004 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2501 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies