Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #150 / 1,000

P0522

Large bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 71,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 10 732

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 732

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 581Deviation R 1 313

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 732. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 3 144

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 8 344 to R 17 465
Finished ahead: 320 / 1,000 (32,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #649 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 16,13% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.592
Mean bets / session: 1.567
Loss multiplier: 1.0691×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 63,5% / 111,2% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

American RouletteR 4 0755 wagers · RTP 120,00%

Craps / DiceR 2 4453 wagers · RTP 66,67%

European RouletteR 2 4453 wagers · RTP 200,00%

BlackjackR 8151 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 5001 wagers · RTP 150,34%

CrashR 5001 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 4004 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 2501 wagers · RTP 100,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2501 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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