Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #754 / 1,000

P0524

Large bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 23,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 4 585

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 5 415

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 569Deviation -R 4 846

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 5 415. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 2 670

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 7 938 to R 12 822
Finished ahead: 278 / 1,000 (27,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #615 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 14,46% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.457
Mean bets / session: 1.995
Loss multiplier: 1.0359×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 64,8% / 81,5% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

American RouletteR 3 1084 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 3 0604 wagers · RTP 200,00%

Craps / DiceR 1 5782 wagers · RTP 100,00%

BlackjackR 1 5782 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 1 5003 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 7891 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 5005 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 5002 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 5002 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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