Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #458 / 1,000

P0525

Large bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 46,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 8 487

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 513

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 265Deviation -R 1 248

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 513. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 342

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 898 to R 6 519
Finished ahead: 276 / 1,000 (27,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #469 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 21,44% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.446
Mean bets / session: 1.213
Loss multiplier: 1.0881×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 61,3% / 105,2% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

European RouletteR 1 8844 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 1 8844 wagers · RTP 75,00%

CrashR 9422 wagers · RTP 100,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 5002 wagers · RTP 200,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 5002 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 4711 wagers · RTP 300,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 1001 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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