Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #109 / 1,000

P0530

Large bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 86,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 12 627

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 2 627

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 470Deviation R 3 097

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 2 627. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 754

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 5 611 to R 7 838
Finished ahead: 267 / 1,000 (26,7%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #518 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 10,34% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.553
Mean bets / session: 1.755
Loss multiplier: 1.0117×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 69,3% / 93,6% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

American RouletteR 1 8444 wagers · RTP 225,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 30013 wagers · RTP 15,38%

BlackjackR 9222 wagers · RTP 100,00%

Craps / DiceR 9222 wagers · RTP 200,00%

BaccaratR 9222 wagers · RTP 200,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 7503 wagers · RTP 33,33%

CrashR 4611 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 4611 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 2501 wagers · RTP 500,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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