Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #703 / 1,000

P0531

Large bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 6,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 5 535

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 4 465

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 388Deviation -R 4 077

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 4 465. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 438

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 4 768 to R 8 245
Finished ahead: 286 / 1,000 (28,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #485 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 19,60% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.279
Mean bets / session: 1.889
Loss multiplier: 1.0399×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 67,8% / 119,5% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

American RouletteR 2 9055 wagers · RTP 40,00%

European RouletteR 2 3244 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 1 7433 wagers · RTP 133,33%

Craps / DiceR 5811 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 5811 wagers · RTP 195,00%

CrashR 5001 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 5002 wagers · RTP 50,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 4004 wagers · RTP 50,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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