Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #723 / 1,000

P0534

Large bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 23,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 5 234

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 4 766

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 569Deviation -R 4 197

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 4 766. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 2 410

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 7 344 to R 12 546
Finished ahead: 282 / 1,000 (28,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #588 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 14,30% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.643
Mean bets / session: 1.855
Loss multiplier: 1.0617×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 58,4% / 96,8% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

American RouletteR 5 0859 wagers · RTP 22,22%

CrashR 3 0006 wagers · RTP 100,00%

BaccaratR 2 8255 wagers · RTP 78,00%

European RouletteR 1 6953 wagers · RTP 100,00%

BlackjackR 1 1302 wagers · RTP 100,00%

Craps / DiceR 5651 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 5001 wagers · RTP 285,07%

Lottery / JackpotR 3003 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2501 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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