Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #479 / 1,000

P0537

Large bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 25,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 8 331

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 669

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 157Deviation -R 1 513

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 669. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 925

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 763 to R 3 601
Finished ahead: 278 / 1,000 (27,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #417 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 18,52% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.609
Mean bets / session: 1.025
Loss multiplier: 1.1083×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 88,9% / 138,2% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

CrashR 8253 wagers · RTP 66,67%

Three-Reel SlotR 7503 wagers · RTP 16,67%

Craps / DiceR 5502 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 5502 wagers · RTP 146,48%

BlackjackR 2751 wagers · RTP 100,00%

American RouletteR 2751 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 2002 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies