Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #677 / 1,000

P0539

Large bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 48,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 5 882

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 4 118

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 896Deviation -R 3 222

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 4 118. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 3 817

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 838 to R 19 214
Finished ahead: 323 / 1,000 (32,3%)
At least one ruin: 1 / 1,000 (0,1%)
Median rank: #697 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 21,30% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.534
Mean bets / session: 2.858
Loss multiplier: 1.0926×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 86,1% / 105,6% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

American RouletteR 6 0137 wagers · RTP 42,86%

BlackjackR 4 2955 wagers · RTP 160,00%

CrashR 3 0006 wagers · RTP 87,50%

European RouletteR 2 5773 wagers · RTP 66,67%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 0002 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 0004 wagers · RTP 37,50%

Lottery / JackpotR 6006 wagers · RTP 33,33%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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