Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #68 / 1,000

P0540

Large bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 91,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 15 971

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 5 971

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 587Deviation R 6 559

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 5 971. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 843

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 6 038 to R 10 628
Finished ahead: 297 / 1,000 (29,7%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #534 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 10,16% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.338
Mean bets / session: 2.479
Loss multiplier: 1.108×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 73,5% / 141,3% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Virtual Sports BettingR 3 5007 wagers · RTP 40,50%

BlackjackR 1 6323 wagers · RTP 100,00%

European RouletteR 1 6323 wagers · RTP 600,00%

BaccaratR 1 0882 wagers · RTP 200,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 9009 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 5441 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 5001 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2501 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 2501 wagers · RTP 500,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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