Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #555 / 1,000

P0543

Large bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 29,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 7 641

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 359

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 394Deviation -R 1 965

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 359. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 376

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 964 to R 5 143
Finished ahead: 265 / 1,000 (26,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #473 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 13,96% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.51
Mean bets / session: 2.487
Loss multiplier: 1.0398×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 67,0% / 103,4% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BlackjackR 2 56311 wagers · RTP 77,27%

American RouletteR 2 0979 wagers · RTP 66,67%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 1655 wagers · RTP 20,00%

BaccaratR 6993 wagers · RTP 131,67%

Lottery / JackpotR 6006 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 4662 wagers · RTP 250,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 2331 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2331 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 2331 wagers · RTP 200,00%

European RouletteR 2331 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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