Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #438 / 1,000

P0545

Large bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 53,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 8 768

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 232

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 341Deviation -R 891

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 232. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 506

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 5 556 to R 8 359
Finished ahead: 293 / 1,000 (29,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #491 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 20,64% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.365
Mean bets / session: 1.526
Loss multiplier: 1.109×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 77,1% / 107,9% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

American RouletteR 2 1903 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 7507 wagers · RTP 71,43%

BaccaratR 1 4602 wagers · RTP 97,50%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 0002 wagers · RTP 148,50%

European RouletteR 7301 wagers · RTP 200,00%

Craps / DiceR 7301 wagers · RTP 200,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2501 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 2002 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies