Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #654 / 1,000

P0547

Large bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 24,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 6 263

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 3 737

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 418Deviation -R 3 319

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 3 737. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 730

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 5 748 to R 9 570
Finished ahead: 292 / 1,000 (29,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #515 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 18,75% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.368
Mean bets / session: 1.602
Loss multiplier: 1.1104×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 69,6% / 112,3% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

American RouletteR 3 6255 wagers · RTP 40,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 5003 wagers · RTP 137,55%

European RouletteR 1 4502 wagers · RTP 100,00%

Craps / DiceR 1 4502 wagers · RTP 100,00%

CrashR 1 0002 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 7251 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 5002 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 1001 wagers · RTP 200,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies