Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #861 / 1,000

P0548

Large bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 14,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 2 054

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 7 946

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 976Deviation -R 6 969

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 7 946. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 4 693

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 8 862 to R 16 919
Finished ahead: 263 / 1,000 (26,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #736 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 11,22% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.609
Mean bets / session: 2.279
Loss multiplier: 1.0433×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 72,6% / 138,7% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Virtual Sports BettingR 5 00010 wagers · RTP 162,34%

American RouletteR 4 7578 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 4 3247 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 3 1474 wagers · RTP 45,95%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 5006 wagers · RTP 83,33%

BlackjackR 1 4242 wagers · RTP 108,85%

BaccaratR 7931 wagers · RTP 200,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 7007 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 5002 wagers · RTP 50,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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