Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #597 / 1,000

P0549

Large bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 15,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 7 170

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 830

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 233Deviation -R 2 597

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 830. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 195

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 878 to R 5 082
Finished ahead: 300 / 1,000 (30,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #449 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 14,92% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.457
Mean bets / session: 1.233
Loss multiplier: 1.0436×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 82,3% / 128,8% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

American RouletteR 1 3083 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 8722 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 6006 wagers · RTP 33,33%

BaccaratR 4361 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 4361 wagers · RTP 200,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2501 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies