Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #774 / 1,000

P0550

Large bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 2,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMETail outcomeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 4 189

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 5 811

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 561Deviation -R 5 250

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 5 811. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 930

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 5 116 to R 7 022
Finished ahead: 285 / 1,000 (28,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #540 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 20,91% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.511
Mean bets / session: 1.398
Loss multiplier: 1.092×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 78,9% / 110,9% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

American RouletteR 2 2555 wagers · RTP 60,00%

BaccaratR 1 3533 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 3533 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 1 3533 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 6006 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 2501 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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