Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #426 / 1,000

P0553

Large bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 56,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 8 875

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 125

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 168Deviation -R 957

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 125. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 578

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 4 884 to R 8 449
Finished ahead: 293 / 1,000 (29,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #500 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 17,11% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.339
Mean bets / session: 1.655
Loss multiplier: 1.0281×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 55,9% / 144,0% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BlackjackR 1 1862 wagers · RTP 200,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 0002 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 5931 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 5931 wagers · RTP 100,00%

American RouletteR 5931 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 5001 wagers · RTP 125,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2501 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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