Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #531 / 1,000

P0554

Large bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 30,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 7 885

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 115

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 195Deviation -R 1 920

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 115. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 124

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 4 241 to R 5 989
Finished ahead: 303 / 1,000 (30,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #440 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 13,55% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.332
Mean bets / session: 1.371
Loss multiplier: 1.0066×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 70,7% / 118,0% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BaccaratR 2 9005 wagers · RTP 40,00%

Craps / DiceR 1 1602 wagers · RTP 100,00%

CrashR 5001 wagers · RTP 125,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 5001 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2501 wagers · RTP 100,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 2002 wagers · RTP 100,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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