Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #193 / 1,000

P0555

Large bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 73,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 10 200

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 200

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 502Deviation R 702

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 200. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 2 560

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 8 399 to R 15 778
Finished ahead: 278 / 1,000 (27,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #599 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 21,51% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.441
Mean bets / session: 2.642
Loss multiplier: 1.0995×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 78,6% / 71,9% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

American RouletteR 3 2505 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 2 6004 wagers · RTP 112,50%

European RouletteR 1 9503 wagers · RTP 300,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 0004 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 7007 wagers · RTP 57,14%

Craps / DiceR 6501 wagers · RTP 200,00%

CrashR 5001 wagers · RTP 125,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2501 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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