Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #792 / 1,000

P0558

Large bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 15,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 3 855

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 6 145

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 644Deviation -R 5 501

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 6 145. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 2 578

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 8 036 to R 12 464
Finished ahead: 285 / 1,000 (28,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #608 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 18,02% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.516
Mean bets / session: 2.218
Loss multiplier: 1.1153×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 66,6% / 104,0% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

American RouletteR 4 7208 wagers · RTP 25,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 5005 wagers · RTP 26,59%

BlackjackR 1 1802 wagers · RTP 100,00%

Craps / DiceR 1 1802 wagers · RTP 200,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 7503 wagers · RTP 33,33%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 7503 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 7007 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies