Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #419 / 1,000

P0559

Large bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 60,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 8 950

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 050

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 100Deviation -R 950

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 050. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 2 103

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 7 303 to R 11 179
Finished ahead: 317 / 1,000 (31,7%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #557 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 13,72% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.303
Mean bets / session: 2.562
Loss multiplier: 1.0094×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 80,5% / 100,7% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Virtual Sports BettingR 5001 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 3003 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 2501 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies