Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #718 / 1,000

P0561

Large bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 21,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 5 303

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 4 697

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 622Deviation -R 4 075

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 4 697. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 2 370

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 6 908 to R 12 010
Finished ahead: 313 / 1,000 (31,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #586 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 16,91% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.524
Mean bets / session: 2
Loss multiplier: 1.0216×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 57,9% / 132,8% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

American RouletteR 3 7768 wagers · RTP 87,50%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 3605 wagers · RTP 94,12%

CrashR 1 8884 wagers · RTP 31,25%

European RouletteR 1 8884 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 1 8884 wagers · RTP 150,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 7503 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 5002 wagers · RTP 150,00%

BlackjackR 4721 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 4721 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 4004 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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