Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #579 / 1,000

P0571

Large bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 62,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 7 423

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 577

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 260Deviation -R 1 317

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 577. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 5 117

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 774 to R 25 347
Finished ahead: 277 / 1,000 (27,7%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #760 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 18,93% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.538
Mean bets / session: 2.655
Loss multiplier: 1.0346×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 62,6% / 137,3% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

American RouletteR 12 05113 wagers · RTP 84,62%

European RouletteR 10 19711 wagers · RTP 136,36%

BlackjackR 4 6355 wagers · RTP 40,00%

Craps / DiceR 1 8542 wagers · RTP 100,00%

CrashR 1 0002 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 8008 wagers · RTP 50,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 5002 wagers · RTP 50,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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