Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #364 / 1,000

P0573

Large bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 70,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 404

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 596

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 550Deviation -R 46

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 596. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 548

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 4 220 to R 3 671
Finished ahead: 220 / 1,000 (22,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #489 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 9,94% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.589
Mean bets / session: 1.72
Loss multiplier: 1.0617×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 83,0% / 70,2% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

American RouletteR 1 3105 wagers · RTP 160,00%

Craps / DiceR 1 0484 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 9009 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 7863 wagers · RTP 150,00%

CrashR 5242 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 2621 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2621 wagers · RTP 461,42%

European RouletteR 2621 wagers · RTP 200,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2501 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 2501 wagers · RTP 100,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies