Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #451 / 1,000

P0575

Large bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 56,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 8 554

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 446

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 473Deviation -R 973

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 446. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 2 075

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 6 095 to R 8 122
Finished ahead: 276 / 1,000 (27,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #555 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 18,70% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.507
Mean bets / session: 2.914
Loss multiplier: 1.1096×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 83,7% / 86,8% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Three-Reel SlotR 3 00012 wagers · RTP 95,83%

American RouletteR 2 4759 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 8253 wagers · RTP 92,93%

CrashR 8253 wagers · RTP 133,33%

Lottery / JackpotR 4004 wagers · RTP 300,00%

BlackjackR 2751 wagers · RTP 250,00%

Craps / DiceR 2751 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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