Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #807 / 1,000

P0577

Large bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 9,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 3 550

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 6 450

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 451Deviation -R 5 999

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 6 450. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 2 178

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 7 033 to R 11 050
Finished ahead: 312 / 1,000 (31,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #563 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 13,13% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.545
Mean bets / session: 1.37
Loss multiplier: 1.0243×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 75,7% / 78,9% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

American RouletteR 2 3853 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 2 2304 wagers · RTP 38,48%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 0002 wagers · RTP 137,36%

BlackjackR 7951 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 7221 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 7007 wagers · RTP 57,14%

CrashR 5001 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 5002 wagers · RTP 50,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 5002 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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