Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #699 / 1,000

P0578

Large bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 38,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 5 626

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 4 374

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 884Deviation -R 3 490

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 4 374. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 2 988

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 8 224 to R 12 963
Finished ahead: 304 / 1,000 (30,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #636 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 10,88% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.51
Mean bets / session: 2.321
Loss multiplier: 1.1029×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 81,6% / 101,5% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

American RouletteR 6 5169 wagers · RTP 66,67%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 0004 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 2 0004 wagers · RTP 81,25%

Craps / DiceR 1 4482 wagers · RTP 250,00%

European RouletteR 1 4482 wagers · RTP 200,00%

BaccaratR 1 4482 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 2505 wagers · RTP 70,00%

BlackjackR 7241 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 6006 wagers · RTP 33,33%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 5002 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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